I'm not crazy about anything on the board this week. Usually week 2 is full of good opportunities. Most fans over react to Week 1 results, so you can count on good teams that lost in Week 1 to bounce back. This year that would include teams like New Orleans, Atlanta, and Pittsburgh. But look at the match-ups. The Saints are a full-7 favorite against a Bears team that handled Atlanta last week. Sure I don't like the Bears, but -7 is a huge number for a team as unpredictable as the Bears. Everyone has jumped off the Atlanta band wagon, they are 2.5 home dogs to Philly. I would probably take the points with anyone but New England or Philly. Philly's team speed in the dome plus Michael Vick coming back to Atlanta scream "STAY AWAY" to me. That leaves Pitt a 14.5 home favorite to Seattle. Sure Seattle stinks and Pitt is unlikely to have 7 turnovers again, but no way do I feel comfortable with them covering over 2 TDs. Yikes.
A couple of other teams that looked good in Week 1 are Buffalo, Detroit, and Washington. Once again you might be tempted to go against them figuring they won't pay that good again, but how do you take teams like Oakland, KC, and Arizona all going East to play?
Do I trust Houston to cover 3.5 at Miami? Not really, Miami threw all over New England and Houston still has issues in the secondary.
Indy bouncing back against Cleveland? I saw no signs of life in Indy but I have no trust in Cleveland either.
Denver covering 3.5 at home? I don't feel good about that, but I hate Cincy too.
New York and St Louis are both way too unpredictable.
Finally, I decided to lay low and make one small bet mainly for entertainment. It's the kind of bet The Juice would hate too.
Parlay bet $5.00 to win $20.00
Detroit Lions -110 for Game
New York Jets -1 -110 for Game
Baltimore Ravens -110 for Game
Pittsburgh Steelers -7 -110 for Game
Green Bay Packers -4 -110 for Game
New England Patriots +1 -110 for Game
Basically its a 7.5 point parlay on 6 teams that I expect to win. The 7.5 points gets Detroit, the Jets, Ravens and Pats down to basically even. That leaves Pitt to cover 1 TD and Green Bay to win by at least 4 at Carolina.
Could one of those teams get upset? Sure, but at 4:1 it will keep me busy all afternoon.
Doctor Psych is an MD, PhD, professor of Psychiatry living outside Dallas. A lifelong Colts fan, he battles his sports addictions in a daily fight to run a lab and raise his toddler son. The Juice is a PhD neuroscientist living in Manhattan. A former D-3 offensive lineman, he remains a lowly Browns supporter from before "The Drive," maintaining a will to live only for the sake of his three-year-old daughter. Each week, they analyze results, make predictions, and generally discuss NFL news.
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