$5.00 to win $5.00 - NYG (-4) vs DAL
As I wrote in my futures bets, I love the Giants and hate the Cowboys this year. I can’t imagine Dallas is prepared going into game one, and I love Eli to light up their defense, since he’s a guy that can handle the pass rush, read and react. The Giants are at home, plus they get to play with a chip on their shoulder, since nobody likes them to defend their title. This line should be much higher, so I like the bet.
DP: I can see the logic behind the bet- Giants are undervalued and since they started the Thursday night game, no defending champ has lost the home opener. Still the Cowboys are a clear stay away for me. They still have a lot of talent, have improved their secondary, and do best when expectations are low. Plus Divisional games are usually close and the ‘Boys also have something to play for as their collapse last year against the Giants is what started the G-Men’s Superbowl drive.
$5.00 to win $5.00 - BUF (+2.5) @NYJ
Buffalo would have a real chance to be a surprise playoff team if they didn’t have the Pats in their division. I think they can put up at least a couple TDs against the Jets’ D. The Jets are in big trouble on offense, and there is no way they score more than 17 points. Only way they keep this one close is with turnovers for TDs. It could happen, but I think the Bills rack up 20 points on offense, and the Jets get no more than a single TD and 2-3 FGs. I love getting the points here.
DP: Another game that I am planning to stay away from. It seems like everyone is jumping off the Jets bandwagon and on to the Bills. I don’t see the value when the Public is leaning so much in one direction. At 4 points, I would be on board with this pick, but at 2.5 I could see if go either way.
$5.00 to win $5.00 - NE (-6.5) @ TEN
Tennessee is a joke. They don’t have a QB, and the Pats will stack the box to ruin any chance for Chris Johnson to redeem last season’s debacle. I know the Pats’ O-line is shady at best, but the Titans don’t have the D to take advantage, and Brady should have just enough time to pick them apart. This one should get out of hand quickly, so I’m happy to give up the points.
DP: I can’t argue with anything you said. I’m baffled this line is less than 7.
$5.00 to win $5.00 - Pit (+2) @ Den
This is probably a stupid bet. I don’t actually like the Steelers this year, and I think their defense is a pale ghost of what it’s been in the past. However, this is more of a bet against Denver. I think they’ll be shaky coming out, Manning will be easy to frustrate, and their defense is good but not great, and will get gashed by the Steelers’ run/pass combo. Plus, if the Steelers have any heart left at all, they’ll be looking to avenge the playoff nightmare loss to Tebowmania last season with a dick-stomping in Denver. I’m hoping it comes down to a super-close game, and the two points will be enough to get me the win.
DP: I like the idea behind the bet but not the execution. Weird things can happen in week 1 because teams have had abundant time to prepare for their opponents. I can see Manning picking apart a slow Pitt defense at home and winning the 'Primetime' match-up. I can also see Atlanta struggling to put Kansas City away on the road. If those two things happen, then I am betting heavily on Atlanta in Week 2 when Denver goes on the road. I think the betting public will go crazy with "Manning is Back" fever, but I can see Denver struggling with Atlanta's speed at home in the Dome.
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